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Spatio-Temporal Characterization of Diurnal Noise in Superconducting Quantum Processors

A Simulation Study with the HS◦ Framework (v2.0 Corrected)

Status: Simulation Study (v2.0)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18100033
Supersedes: 10.5281/zenodo.17900332

Abstract

We present a simulation study of diurnal noise patterns in superconducting quantum processors using the HS◦ temporal phase framework. Modeling a 127-qubit chip with spatially-varying thermal lag parameters, we investigate the potential benefits of phase-aware correction. For a diurnal modulation amplitude of A = 2.6% (baseline error ε0 = 0.9%), simulations show: (1) frequency drift reduction of 6.7× with 85% correction efficiency, (2) gate fidelity improvement of 1.8% in optimal windows, and (3) spatial variation in thermal lag from ∼1.7h (edge) to ∼2.2h (center). Important corrections: Version 1.3 of this document contained claims (11.3×, 14%, 40%) that were not reproducible in simulation and have been revised. All results presented here are from numerical simulation; experimental validation is required.

1. Corrections from Version 1.3

This section documents errors in the previous version.

Table 1: Corrections from V1.3 to V2.0
ClaimV1.3V2.0 (Simulated)Issue
Drift reduction11.3×6.7×Overestimated
Fidelity improvement14%1.8%Overestimated
QEC uptime increase40%N/ANot reproducible
Thermal lag (edge)1.5h1.72hApproximate
Thermal lag (center)2.5h2.24hApproximate

Root causes of errors in V1.3:

  1. The 11.3× drift reduction would require 91% correction efficiency, not the stated 85%.
  2. The 14% fidelity improvement is mathematically inconsistent with the stated error parameters.
  3. The 40% QEC uptime claim used an undefined threshold and is not reproducible.
  4. V1.3 presented simulated data as if it were experimental calibration data.

2. Introduction

Diurnal drift in superconducting quantum processors may arise from thermal, mechanical, or infrastructure-driven environmental variations [1, 2]. This study uses numerical simulation to investigate the potential magnitude of such effects and the benefits of phase-aware correction.

Scope: This is a simulation study. No experimental data were collected or analyzed.

3. Model

3.1 Temporal Phase

We define the normalized daily phase:

ϕ(t) := (t − t0) / Tcycle mod 1 ∈ [0, 1)

where Tcycle = 86,400 s.

3.2 Spatial Thermal Lag

For qubit k at position (xk, yk) on the chip, the thermal lag is modeled as:

δk = δcenter − (δcenter − δedge) · dk / dmax

where dk is the distance from chip center and δedge ≈ 1.5h, δcenter ≈ 2.5h.

3.3 Error Model

The gate error rate follows:

εk(t) = ε(0)k + Ak/2 (1 − cos(2πϕ(t) − δk))

3.4 Correction Model

With efficiency η:

εcorrk(t) = ε(0)k + (1 − η)(Ak/2) (1 − cos(2πϕ(t) − δk))

The theoretical drift reduction is:

R = 1 / (1 − η)

For η = 0.85: R = 6.67×.

4. Simulation Configuration

Table 2: Simulation Parameters
ParameterSymbolValue
Number of qubitsn127
Baseline errorε00.9%
Diurnal amplitudeA2.6%
Correction efficiencyη85%
Thermal lag (edge)δedge∼1.5h
Thermal lag (center)δcenter∼2.5h

5. Results

5.1 Frequency Drift Reduction

Table 3: Drift Reduction Results
MetricUncorrectedCorrected
Drift RMS (max)20.0 kHz3.0 kHz
Drift RMS (mean)12.8 kHz1.9 kHz
Reduction factor6.7×

5.2 Gate Fidelity

Table 4: Fidelity by Time Window
WindowPhase RangeFidelity
Gold (night)ϕ ∈ [0.75, 0.25]98.51%
Bronze (day)ϕ ∈ [0.40, 0.75]96.82%
Improvement1.8%

5.3 Spatial Thermal Lag Distribution

Table 5: Thermal Lag by Position
RegionQubitsMean Lag
Edge (d > 5)411.72h
Center (d ≤ 3)322.24h

6. Discussion

6.1 Comparison with V1.3 Claims

The simulated improvements are more modest than claimed in V1.3:

  • Drift reduction: ∼6–7× vs 11.3× claimed
  • Fidelity improvement: ∼2% vs 14% claimed
  • QEC uptime: Not reliably quantifiable

These discrepancies indicate that V1.3 either used different (unstated) parameters or contained calculation errors.

6.2 Physical Interpretation

The spatial variation in thermal lag is physically plausible:

  • Edge qubits are closer to thermal boundaries
  • Heat diffuses from package periphery inward
  • Center qubits experience delayed temperature response

However, the absolute values (1.5–2.5h) depend on cryostat design and have not been experimentally validated.

7. Limitations

  1. Simulation only: No experimental data
  2. Assumed parameters: A = 2.6% is an assumption, not a measurement
  3. First-harmonic model: Higher harmonics may be present
  4. Thermal lag model: The center-edge gradient is assumed, not measured
  5. QEC threshold: Standard threshold (0.5%) may not apply to all codes

8. Conclusion

This simulation study demonstrates that phase-aware correction can provide meaningful benefits if diurnal modulation is present at significant levels (A ≳ 2%):

  • Drift reduction: ∼6–7× (not 11×)
  • Fidelity improvement: ∼2% (not 14%)
  • Spatial lag varies as expected from thermal diffusion

Critical next step: Experimental characterization of actual diurnal modulation amplitude on real hardware.

Data Availability

Simulation code is available as supplementary material. This document supersedes V1.3 (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17900332).

References

  • [1] P. V. Klimov et al., Fluctuations of energy-relaxation times in superconducting qubits, Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 090502 (2018).
  • [2] M. Carroll et al., Dynamics of superconducting qubit relaxation times, npj Quantum Inf. 8, 132 (2022).