Spatio-Temporal Characterization of Diurnal Noise in Superconducting Quantum Processors
A Simulation Study with the HS◦ Framework (v2.0 Corrected)
Abstract
We present a simulation study of diurnal noise patterns in superconducting quantum processors using the HS◦ temporal phase framework. Modeling a 127-qubit chip with spatially-varying thermal lag parameters, we investigate the potential benefits of phase-aware correction. For a diurnal modulation amplitude of A = 2.6% (baseline error ε0 = 0.9%), simulations show: (1) frequency drift reduction of 6.7× with 85% correction efficiency, (2) gate fidelity improvement of 1.8% in optimal windows, and (3) spatial variation in thermal lag from ∼1.7h (edge) to ∼2.2h (center). Important corrections: Version 1.3 of this document contained claims (11.3×, 14%, 40%) that were not reproducible in simulation and have been revised. All results presented here are from numerical simulation; experimental validation is required.
1. Corrections from Version 1.3
This section documents errors in the previous version.
| Claim | V1.3 | V2.0 (Simulated) | Issue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drift reduction | 11.3× | 6.7× | Overestimated |
| Fidelity improvement | 14% | 1.8% | Overestimated |
| QEC uptime increase | 40% | N/A | Not reproducible |
| Thermal lag (edge) | 1.5h | 1.72h | Approximate |
| Thermal lag (center) | 2.5h | 2.24h | Approximate |
Root causes of errors in V1.3:
- The 11.3× drift reduction would require 91% correction efficiency, not the stated 85%.
- The 14% fidelity improvement is mathematically inconsistent with the stated error parameters.
- The 40% QEC uptime claim used an undefined threshold and is not reproducible.
- V1.3 presented simulated data as if it were experimental calibration data.
2. Introduction
Diurnal drift in superconducting quantum processors may arise from thermal, mechanical, or infrastructure-driven environmental variations [1, 2]. This study uses numerical simulation to investigate the potential magnitude of such effects and the benefits of phase-aware correction.
Scope: This is a simulation study. No experimental data were collected or analyzed.
3. Model
3.1 Temporal Phase
We define the normalized daily phase:
ϕ(t) := (t − t0) / Tcycle mod 1 ∈ [0, 1)
where Tcycle = 86,400 s.
3.2 Spatial Thermal Lag
For qubit k at position (xk, yk) on the chip, the thermal lag is modeled as:
δk = δcenter − (δcenter − δedge) · dk / dmax
where dk is the distance from chip center and δedge ≈ 1.5h, δcenter ≈ 2.5h.
3.3 Error Model
The gate error rate follows:
εk(t) = ε(0)k + Ak/2 (1 − cos(2πϕ(t) − δk))
3.4 Correction Model
With efficiency η:
εcorrk(t) = ε(0)k + (1 − η)(Ak/2) (1 − cos(2πϕ(t) − δk))
The theoretical drift reduction is:
R = 1 / (1 − η)
For η = 0.85: R = 6.67×.
4. Simulation Configuration
| Parameter | Symbol | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Number of qubits | n | 127 |
| Baseline error | ε0 | 0.9% |
| Diurnal amplitude | A | 2.6% |
| Correction efficiency | η | 85% |
| Thermal lag (edge) | δedge | ∼1.5h |
| Thermal lag (center) | δcenter | ∼2.5h |
5. Results
5.1 Frequency Drift Reduction
| Metric | Uncorrected | Corrected |
|---|---|---|
| Drift RMS (max) | 20.0 kHz | 3.0 kHz |
| Drift RMS (mean) | 12.8 kHz | 1.9 kHz |
| Reduction factor | 6.7× | |
5.2 Gate Fidelity
| Window | Phase Range | Fidelity |
|---|---|---|
| Gold (night) | ϕ ∈ [0.75, 0.25] | 98.51% |
| Bronze (day) | ϕ ∈ [0.40, 0.75] | 96.82% |
| Improvement | 1.8% | |
5.3 Spatial Thermal Lag Distribution
| Region | Qubits | Mean Lag |
|---|---|---|
| Edge (d > 5) | 41 | 1.72h |
| Center (d ≤ 3) | 32 | 2.24h |
6. Discussion
6.1 Comparison with V1.3 Claims
The simulated improvements are more modest than claimed in V1.3:
- Drift reduction: ∼6–7× vs 11.3× claimed
- Fidelity improvement: ∼2% vs 14% claimed
- QEC uptime: Not reliably quantifiable
These discrepancies indicate that V1.3 either used different (unstated) parameters or contained calculation errors.
6.2 Physical Interpretation
The spatial variation in thermal lag is physically plausible:
- Edge qubits are closer to thermal boundaries
- Heat diffuses from package periphery inward
- Center qubits experience delayed temperature response
However, the absolute values (1.5–2.5h) depend on cryostat design and have not been experimentally validated.
7. Limitations
- Simulation only: No experimental data
- Assumed parameters: A = 2.6% is an assumption, not a measurement
- First-harmonic model: Higher harmonics may be present
- Thermal lag model: The center-edge gradient is assumed, not measured
- QEC threshold: Standard threshold (0.5%) may not apply to all codes
8. Conclusion
This simulation study demonstrates that phase-aware correction can provide meaningful benefits if diurnal modulation is present at significant levels (A ≳ 2%):
- Drift reduction: ∼6–7× (not 11×)
- Fidelity improvement: ∼2% (not 14%)
- Spatial lag varies as expected from thermal diffusion
Critical next step: Experimental characterization of actual diurnal modulation amplitude on real hardware.
Data Availability
Simulation code is available as supplementary material. This document supersedes V1.3 (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17900332).
References
- [1] P. V. Klimov et al., Fluctuations of energy-relaxation times in superconducting qubits, Phys. Rev. Lett. 121, 090502 (2018).
- [2] M. Carroll et al., Dynamics of superconducting qubit relaxation times, npj Quantum Inf. 8, 132 (2022).